Rational thought is beginning to take shape again as investors try to pin down a fair value for shares of Apple (AAPL) stock. A price below $400 just weeks ago made little sense for a company with $150 per share in net cash and $40 per share of net earnings (P/E ratio ~ 6x). With the stock back above $450 as the newly announced (and massive) share repurchase program commences, where is Apple likely to trade? This is not an easy question to answer, as the bears think it should trade at a multiple more in line with Microsoft (MSFT), while the bulls could argue that Google (GOOG) is a better comparable. Since Google trades at double the valuation of Microsoft (I am using trailing 12 months cash flow multiples in this article), fair value assessments can vary greatly based on your assumptions.
To put this debate
